Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000122 0.000135 0.000149 0.000165 0.000183 0.000202 0.000224
2025-07-13 0.000099 0.000117 0.000139 0.000166 0.000199 0.000238 0.000288
2025-07-20 0.000085 0.000107 0.000133 0.000169 0.000215 0.000273 0.000352
2025-07-27 0.000074 0.000097 0.000126 0.000167 0.000224 0.000299 0.000408
2025-08-03 0.000067 0.000091 0.000123 0.000170 0.000237 0.000331 0.000475
2025-08-10 0.000060 0.000084 0.000118 0.000168 0.000243 0.000352 0.000528
2025-08-17 0.000055 0.000079 0.000113 0.000166 0.000248 0.000374 0.000584
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000073 0.000108 0.000163 0.000251 0.000391 0.000633
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000067 0.000102 0.000158 0.000250 0.000401 0.000673
2025-09-07 0.000042 0.000064 0.000099 0.000158 0.000258 0.000425 0.000739
2025-09-14 0.000040 0.000062 0.000098 0.000160 0.000269 0.000457 0.000821
2025-09-21 0.000037 0.000059 0.000094 0.000157 0.000270 0.000472 0.000875
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000054 0.000088 0.000151 0.000266 0.000476 0.000911
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000052 0.000087 0.000151 0.000274 0.000506 0.001004
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000050 0.000086 0.000154 0.000286 0.000544 0.001119
2025-10-19 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000153 0.000291 0.000569 0.001211
2025-10-26 0.000027 0.000047 0.000083 0.000155 0.000303 0.000610 0.001343
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000080 0.000153 0.000306 0.000631 0.001434
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000078 0.000151 0.000310 0.000656 0.001536
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000149 0.000310 0.000672 0.001622
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000144 0.000306 0.000679 0.001682
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000144 0.000313 0.000711 0.001817
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000036 0.000070 0.000146 0.000325 0.000756 0.001993